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Start
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
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18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
FSV Mainz 05 - Samsunspor
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FSV Mainz 05 - Samsunspor December 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.
Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.90 / 2 4.06
- 1X2 market: FSV Mainz 05 52.5% / X 24.2% / Samsunspor 23.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.8%
1
52.5%
X
24.2%
2
23.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5
57.6%
Under 2.5
42.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FSV Mainz 05 - Samsunspor
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.06
market consensus · line only
X
3.90
market consensus · line only
1
1.80
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.99
market consensus · line only
12
1.24
market consensus · line only
1X
1.23
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.01
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.60
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.75
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.90
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.64
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.23
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.22
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.61
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.87 53.5% | |
| X | 3.85 26.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 3.96 25.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% |
| 3.90 25.6% | 5.20 19.2% | 4.26 23.5% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.15 24.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.24 44.6% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.68 59.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.95 51.3% | 2.03 49.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.98 50.5% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.24 80.7% |
| home_draw | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.21 82.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.79 55.9% | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.20 45.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.60 38.5% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.62 61.7% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
Match center
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D
L
W
W
W
FSV Mainz 05
1:1
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
0:1
Universitatea Craiova
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Fiorentina
Fiorentina
FSV Mainz 05
1:0
Zrinjski
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FSV Mainz 05
1:0
Omonia Nicosia
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.6
Conceded
10
Points
Samsunspor
L
D
W
W
W
Samsunspor
1:2
AEK Afiny
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2:2
Breidablik
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Samsunspor
3:0
Hamrun Spartans
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3:0
Dynamo Kyiv
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Samsunspor
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Legia Warszawa
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.8
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - Samsunspor
FSV Mainz 05
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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