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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Hamrun Spartans - Rīgas FS

World Football
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
1 : 0
Finished
Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS

Hamrun Spartans face Rīgas FS on August 21, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

The market favourite is Rīgas FS at roughly 38%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hamrun Spartans - Rīgas FS August 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rīgas FS.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rīgas FS. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.90 / X 3.40 / 2 2.55
  • 1X2 market: Hamrun Spartans 33.4% / X 28.5% / Rīgas FS 38.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3% 17 books · best price +6.3%
1 32.8%
X 29.2%
2 38.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 42.3%
Under 2.5 57.7%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Market 1 33.4% @ 2.90 / X 28.5% @ 3.40 / 2 38.0% @ 2.55
Match center

Hamrun Spartans - Rīgas FS

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 Fonbet · line only
X 3.40 Fonbet · line only
1 2.90 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 Fonbet · line only
12 1.32 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.80 35.7% 3.15 31.8% 2.92 34.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.29 30.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3%
2.45 40.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.52 39.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.47 40.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.5 1.42 70.4% 1.35 74.1%
Over 1.75 1.45 69.0%
Over 2.0 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.25 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9%
Over 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 3.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 0.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 1.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 2.25 1.99 50.3%
Under 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 3.5 1.20 83.3%