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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
11.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Hamrun Spartans - Shakhtar Donetsk

World Football
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
0 : 2
Finished
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk

Hamrun Spartans take on Shakhtar Donetsk on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hamrun Spartans 1-1-3, Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1-1. The market favourite is Shakhtar Donetsk at roughly 69%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hamrun Spartans - Shakhtar Donetsk December 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shakhtar Donetsk.

Line favourite market consensus: Shakhtar Donetsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.03 / X 4.74 / 2 1.36
  • 1X2 market: Hamrun Spartans 11.7% / X 19.7% / Shakhtar Donetsk 68.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%
1 11.6%
X 19.7%
2 68.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 53.0%
Under 2.5 47.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 11.6% @ 8.03 / X 19.7% @ 4.74 / 2 68.7% @ 1.36
Match center

Hamrun Spartans - Shakhtar Donetsk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.36 market consensus · line only
X 4.74 market consensus · line only
1 8.03 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.07 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 2.97 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.57 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
8.90 11.2% 7.70 13.0% 8.75 11.4% 8.00 12.5% 8.50 11.8% 8.50 11.8%
X 4.65 21.5% 5.00 20.0% 4.98 20.1% 4.60 21.7% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%
1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.67 59.9% 1.78 56.2% 1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.01 49.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.09 47.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.05 95.2%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 3.00 33.3% 3.12 32.1% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 2.98 33.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 2.75 1.89 52.9%
Over 3.0 2.10 47.6%
Over 3.25 2.01 49.8%
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4%
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.75 26.7%
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 2.75 2.00 50.0%
Under 3.0 1.79 55.9%
Under 3.25 1.81 55.3%
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5 1.12 89.3%
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Hamrun Spartans
W L L L D
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Hamrun Spartans 3:1 Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Hamrun Spartans 0:3 SamsunsporSamsunspor
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Hamrun Spartans 0:1 Lausanne
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Hamrun Spartans 0:1 Jagiellonia
28.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Hamrun Spartans 2:2 Rīgas FSRīgas FS
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Shakhtar Donetsk
W W L W D
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Shakhtar Donetsk 2:1 Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Shakhtar Donetsk 2:0 BreidablikBreidablik
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Shakhtar Donetsk 1:2 Legia Warszawa
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Shakhtar Donetsk 3:2 AberdeenAberdeen
28.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1 Servette FCServette FC
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points