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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
27.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

HNK Rijeka - AEK Larnaca

World Football
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
0 : 0
Finished
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca

HNK Rijeka go head-to-head with AEK Larnaca on November 27, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): HNK Rijeka 1-1-1, AEK Larnaca 2-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards HNK Rijeka, an implied 47% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HNK Rijeka - AEK Larnaca November 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like HNK Rijeka.

Line favourite market consensus: HNK Rijeka. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.34 / 2 3.68
  • 1X2 market: HNK Rijeka 46.5% / X 28.0% / AEK Larnaca 25.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.9%
1 46.6%
X 28.0%
2 25.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.5%
Over 2.5 43.3%
Under 2.5 56.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 46.6% @ 2.01 / X 28.0% @ 3.34 / 2 25.4% @ 3.68
Match center

HNK Rijeka - AEK Larnaca

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.68 market consensus · line only
X 3.34 market consensus · line only
1 2.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.99 50.3% 2.14 46.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.47 28.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4%
3.85 26.0% 3.10 32.3% 3.74 26.7% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.85 26.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.89 52.9% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9% 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.74 57.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 2.25 1.82 55.0%
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5% 2.02 49.5%
Over 3.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 4.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 1.5 2.90 34.5%
Under 2.25 2.00 50.0%
Under 2.5 1.65 60.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 3.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 4.5 1.06 94.3%
Match center
HNK Rijeka
D W L
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HNK Rijeka 1:1 Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC
24.10 14:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HNK Rijeka 1:0 Sparta PragaSparta Praga
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HNK Rijeka 0:1 FC NoahFC Noah
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.7 Scored
0.7 Conceded
4 Points
AEK Larnaca
D W W
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Larnaca 0:0 AberdeenAberdeen
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Larnaca 1:0 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Larnaca 4:0 AZ AlkmarAZ Alkmar
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
0.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHNK Rijeka - AEK Larnaca

HNK Rijeka
0 matches total
AEK Larnaca
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history