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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
11.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

HNK Rijeka - Celje

World Football
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
3 : 0
Finished
Celje
Celje

HNK Rijeka go head-to-head with Celje on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): HNK Rijeka 1-2-1, Celje 4-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards HNK Rijeka, an implied 52% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction HNK Rijeka - Celje December 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like HNK Rijeka.

Line favourite market consensus: HNK Rijeka. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / X 3.64 / 2 4.19
  • 1X2 market: HNK Rijeka 51.7% / X 25.8% / Celje 22.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.3%
1 51.7%
X 25.8%
2 22.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 51.7%
Under 2.5 48.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 51.7% @ 1.82 / X 25.8% @ 3.64 / 2 22.5% @ 4.19
Match center

HNK Rijeka - Celje

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.19 market consensus · line only
X 3.64 market consensus · line only
1 1.82 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.00 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.87 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.78 56.2% 2.02 49.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.55 28.2% 3.78 26.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7%
4.45 22.5% 3.30 30.3% 4.26 23.5% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.45 22.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3% 2.11 47.4%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.93 51.8%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.21 82.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.25 1.83 54.6%
Over 2.5 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.65 27.4%
Under 2.25 1.99 50.3%
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3%
Under 3.5 1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
HNK Rijeka
D D W L
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HNK Rijeka 0:0 AEK LarnakaAEK Larnaka
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HNK Rijeka 1:1 Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC
24.10 14:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HNK Rijeka 1:0 Sparta PragaSparta Praga
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
HNK Rijeka 0:1 FC NoahFC Noah
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
5 Points
Celje
L W W W W
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 1:2 Sigma OlomoutsSigma Olomouts
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 2:1 Legia Warszawa
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 2:0 Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 3:1 AEK AfinyAEK Afiny
28.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 2:0 Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHNK Rijeka - Celje

HNK Rijeka
0 matches total
Celje
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history