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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2025 18:15 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Jagiellonia - Dinamo Tirana

World Football
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
3 : 0
Finished
Dinamo Tirana
Dinamo Tirana

Jagiellonia face Dinamo Tirana on August 21, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Jagiellonia 1-2-0, Dinamo Tirana 1-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Jagiellonia, an implied 74% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jagiellonia - Dinamo Tirana August 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Jagiellonia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Jagiellonia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / X 5.50 / 2 11.00
  • 1X2 market: Jagiellonia 73.8% / X 17.5% / Dinamo Tirana 8.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4% 17 books · best price +3.2%
1 73.3%
X 17.4%
2 9.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 57.4%
Under 2.5 42.6%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.08.2025 18:15 UTC
Market 1 73.8% @ 1.30 / X 17.4% @ 5.50 / 2 8.7% @ 11.00
Match center

Jagiellonia - Dinamo Tirana

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.17 market consensus · line only
X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 3.55 Fonbet · line only
12 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.98 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.80 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 7.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
X 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6% 5.63 17.8% 5.50 18.2% 5.25 19.1% 5.30 18.9%
9.50 10.5% 8.40 11.9% 11.50 8.7% 10.00 10.0% 8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.60 27.8%
home_away 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.05 95.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7%
Over 1.75 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.0 1.22 82.0%
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.75 1.82 55.0%
Over 3.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 4.5 3.95 25.3%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 2.75 2.00 50.0%
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Jagiellonia
D W D
14.08 18:15 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Jagiellonia 2:2 SilkeborgSilkeborg
31.07 18:15 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Jagiellonia 3:1 Novi PazarNovi Pazar
17.04 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Jagiellonia 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
5 Points
Dinamo Tirana
W D
14.08 18:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Dinamo Tirana 1:0 HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split
31.07 18:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Dinamo Tirana 1:1 Atlètic Club d'EscaldesAtlètic Club d'Escaldes
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points