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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Jagiellonia - Hamrun Spartans

World Football
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Finished
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans

Jagiellonia go head-to-head with Hamrun Spartans on October 2, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Jagiellonia 1-2-0, Hamrun Spartans 0-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Jagiellonia, an implied 78% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Jagiellonia - Hamrun Spartans October 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Jagiellonia.

Line favourite market consensus: Jagiellonia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.21 / X 6.43 / 2 12.74
  • 1X2 market: Jagiellonia 77.8% / X 14.7% / Hamrun Spartans 7.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1% 14 books · best price +2.5%
1 78.0%
X 14.7%
2 7.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.9%
Over 2.5 62.0%
Under 2.5 38.0%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 77.9% @ 1.21 / X 14.7% @ 6.43 / 2 7.4% @ 12.74
Match center

Jagiellonia - Hamrun Spartans

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.06 market consensus · line only
X 6.43 market consensus · line only
1 1.21 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.11 market consensus · line only
1X 1.03 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.77 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.32 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 9.80 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.66 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7%
X 6.50 15.4% 6.20 16.1% 6.28 15.9% 5.75 17.4% 6.25 16.0% 6.80 14.7%
13.00 7.7% 11.00 9.1% 13.60 7.4% 13.00 7.7% 15.00 6.7% 14.00 7.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 2.12 47.2% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.35 23.0% 4.30 23.3%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.02 98.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.17 85.5% 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 3.0 1.87 53.5%
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 4.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 2.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 3.0 2.02 49.5%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Jagiellonia
D D W
28.08 18:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Jagiellonia 1:1 Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana
14.08 18:15 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Jagiellonia 2:2 SilkeborgSilkeborg
31.07 18:15 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Jagiellonia 3:1 Novi PazarNovi Pazar
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
5 Points
Hamrun Spartans
D
28.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Hamrun Spartans 2:2 Rīgas FSRīgas FS
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points