UEFA Europa Conference League
Jagiellonia take on Rayo Vallecano on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Jagiellonia 2-3-0, Rayo Vallecano 3-1-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Rayo Vallecano, an implied 47% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.70 27.0% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.69 27.1% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.80 26.3% | |
| X | 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.64 27.5% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 1.97 50.8% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.18 45.9% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.71 58.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.77 56.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | 1.21 82.6% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.36 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.60 27.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 1.99 50.3% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.36 73.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | — |
Jagiellonia
KuPS
Shkendija
Strasbourg
Hamrun Spartans
Dinamo Tirana
Rayo Vallecano
Slovan Bratislava
BK Hacken
Shkendija
Neman
Full head-to-head historyJagiellonia - Rayo Vallecano
The Jagiellonia - Rayo Vallecano breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
