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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.08.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Kauno Žalgiris - Arda Kardzhali

World Football
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
0 : 1
Finished
Arda Kardzhali
Arda Kardzhali

Kauno Žalgiris face Arda Kardzhali on August 7, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Kauno Žalgiris 1-1-0, Arda Kardzhali 0-1-0. The bookmaker line makes Kauno Žalgiris the favourite at about 51%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kauno Žalgiris - Arda Kardzhali August 7, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kauno Žalgiris.

Line favourite Fonbet: Kauno Žalgiris. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.88 / X 3.30 / 2 4.90
  • 1X2 market: Kauno Žalgiris 51.2% / X 29.2% / Arda Kardzhali 19.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5% 17 books · best price +9.8%
1 50.4%
X 28.2%
2 21.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 40.5%
Under 2.5 59.5%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.08.2025 16:00 UTC
Market 1 51.2% @ 1.88 / X 29.2% @ 3.30 / 2 19.6% @ 4.90
Match center

Kauno Žalgiris - Arda Kardzhali

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 Fonbet · line only
X 3.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.92 Fonbet · line only
12 1.33 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.42 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.50 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.80 55.6% 2.01 49.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.42 29.2% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3%
4.20 23.8% 3.25 30.8% 4.65 21.5% 4.00 25.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.30 23.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.25 1.21 82.6%
Over 1.5 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5%
Over 1.75 1.46 68.5%
Over 2.0 1.64 61.0%
Over 2.25 1.98 50.5% 1.92 52.1%
Over 2.5 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5%
Over 2.75 2.58 38.8%
Over 3.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 1.5 2.75 36.4%
Under 2.25 1.80 55.6%
Under 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Under 3.5 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Kauno Žalgiris
W D
31.07 18:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Kauno Žalgiris 2:1 Valur Reykjavik
17.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Kauno Žalgiris 1:1 PenybontPenybont
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Arda Kardzhali
D
31.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Arda Kardzhali 2:2 HJK helsinkiHJK helsinki
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points