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Start
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
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18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Lausanne - Fiorentina
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lausanne - Fiorentina December 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.
Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.69 / X 3.70 / 2 1.92
- 1X2 market: Lausanne 25.5% / X 25.4% / Fiorentina 49.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.2%
1
25.5%
X
25.4%
2
49.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5
56.8%
Under 2.5
43.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Lausanne - Fiorentina
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.92
market consensus · line only
X
3.70
market consensus · line only
1
3.69
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.26
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.89
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.30
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.06
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.91
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.59
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.20
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.25
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.59
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 26.7% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.93 25.5% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.75 26.7% | |
| X | 3.75 26.7% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.80 26.3% |
| 1.91 52.4% | 2.01 49.8% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.93 51.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.33 42.9% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.63 61.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.24 80.7% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.26 79.4% |
| home_draw | 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.62 38.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | 1.99 50.3% | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
Match center
Lausanne
D
L
D
W
W
Lausanne
0:0
KuPS
KuPS
Lausanne
0:2
Lech Poznan
Lausanne
1:1
Omonia Nicosia
Lausanne
1:0
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
Lausanne
3:0
Breidablik
Breidablik
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.6
Conceded
8
Points
Fiorentina
W
L
L
W
W
Fiorentina
2:1
Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
Fiorentina
0:1
AEK Afiny
AEK Afiny
Fiorentina
1:2
Maynts
Maynts
Fiorentina
3:0
Rapid Vienna
Fiorentina
2:0
Sigma Olomouts
Sigma Olomouts
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.8
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLausanne - Fiorentina
Lausanne
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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