UEFA Europa Conference League
Lech Poznan meet FSV Mainz 05 on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lech Poznan 2-0-2, FSV Mainz 05 4-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards FSV Mainz 05, an implied 40% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.70 37.0% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.87 34.8% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.72 36.8% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.65 27.4% |
| 2.44 41.0% | 2.31 43.3% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.45 40.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.40 41.7% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.46 40.7% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.57 63.7% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.45 69.0% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.42 70.4% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.18 84.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.62 61.7% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.50 22.2% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% | 2.01 49.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
Lech Poznan
Rayo Vallecano
Lincoln Red Imps FC
FSV Mainz 05
Universitatea Craiova
Fiorentina
Zrinjski
Full head-to-head historyLech Poznan - FSV Mainz 05
The Lech Poznan - FSV Mainz 05 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
