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Start
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
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18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Legia Warszawa - Lincoln Red Imps FC
4
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Legia Warszawa - Lincoln Red Imps FC December 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Legia Warszawa.
Line favourite market consensus: Legia Warszawa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 5.17 / 2 8.24
- 1X2 market: Legia Warszawa 70.3% / X 18.2% / Lincoln Red Imps FC 11.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 64.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.1%
1
70.3%
X
18.2%
2
11.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5
64.0%
Under 2.5
36.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Legia Warszawa - Lincoln Red Imps FC
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.24
market consensus · line only
X
5.17
market consensus · line only
1
1.34
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.12
market consensus · line only
12
1.16
market consensus · line only
1X
1.07
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.26
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.51
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
7.07
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.32
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.46
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.60
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.00
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.74
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.34 74.6% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.38 72.5% | |
| X | 5.10 19.6% | 5.70 17.5% | 5.39 18.6% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.30 18.9% |
| 8.50 11.8% | 8.70 11.5% | 8.90 11.2% | 8.00 12.5% | 8.50 11.8% | 8.75 11.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 1.89 52.9% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.97 50.8% | 2.02 49.5% |
| yes | 1.67 59.9% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.73 57.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.10 32.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.14 31.9% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.15 87.0% |
| home_draw | 1.07 93.5% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.05 95.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.15 46.5% | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.60 27.8% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.62 38.2% | — | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.67 59.9% | 1.79 55.9% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
Match center
Legia Warszawa
L
L
L
W
L
Legia Warszawa
1:2
FC Noah
FC Noah
Legia Warszawa
0:1
Sparta Praga
Sparta Praga
Legia Warszawa
1:2
Tsele
Tsele
Legia Warszawa
2:1
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Legia Warszawa
0:1
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.4
Conceded
3
Points
Lincoln Red Imps FC
W
L
D
W
L
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2:1
Sigma Olomouts
Sigma Olomouts
Lincoln Red Imps FC
1:3
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
Lincoln Red Imps FC
1:1
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2:1
Lech Poznan
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0:5
Zrinjski
Zrinjski
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
2.2
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLegia Warszawa - Lincoln Red Imps FC
Legia Warszawa
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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