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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Legia Warszawa - Samsunspor

World Football
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
0 : 1
Finished
Samsunspor
Samsunspor

Legia Warszawa meet Samsunspor on October 2, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

The bookmaker line makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at about 50%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Legia Warszawa - Samsunspor October 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Legia Warszawa.

Line favourite market consensus: Legia Warszawa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.53 / 2 3.99
  • 1X2 market: Legia Warszawa 49.8% / X 26.6% / Samsunspor 23.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1% 14 books · best price +2.1%
1 49.7%
X 26.7%
2 23.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 49.5%
Under 2.5 50.5%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 49.9% @ 1.88 / X 26.6% @ 3.53 / 2 23.5% @ 3.99
Match center

Legia Warszawa - Samsunspor

Form 3/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.99 market consensus · line only
X 3.53 market consensus · line only
1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.89 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.83 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.67 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.64 27.5% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.55 28.2%
4.10 24.4% 3.60 27.8% 4.03 24.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.95 51.3% 2.08 48.1% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.13 88.5%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
Over 1.75 1.32 75.8%
Over 2.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 2.75 1.92 52.1%
Over 3.5 3.35 29.9%
Over 4.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 3.40 29.4%
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 2.75 1.97 50.8%
Under 3.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 4.5 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Legia Warszawa
L W W
28.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Legia Warszawa 2:3 HibernianHibernian
17.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Legia Warszawa 2:1 ChelseaChelsea
24.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Legia Warszawa 3:0 TSC Backa Topola
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points