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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar

World Football
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
0 : 2
Finished
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar

Levski Sofia face AZ Alkmaar on August 21, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Levski Sofia 1-0-0, AZ Alkmaar 2-0-0. The bookmaker line makes AZ Alkmaar the favourite at about 47%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar August 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AZ Alkmaar.

Line favourite Fonbet: AZ Alkmaar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.60 / X 3.65 / 2 2.05
  • 1X2 market: Levski Sofia 26.7% / X 26.4% / AZ Alkmaar 46.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6% 17 books · best price +2.5%
1 26.2%
X 27.1%
2 46.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 43.9%
Under 2.5 56.1%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 26.7% @ 3.60 / X 26.4% @ 3.65 / 2 46.9% @ 2.05
Match center

Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.05 Fonbet · line only
X 3.65 Fonbet · line only
1 3.60 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.30 Fonbet · line only
12 1.28 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.17 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.55 28.2% 4.40 22.7% 3.68 27.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.85 26.0% 3.56 28.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.45 29.0%
2.00 50.0% 1.63 61.4% 2.04 49.0% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.77 56.5% 1.96 51.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.78 56.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 1.19 84.0%
Over 1.5 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2%
Over 1.75 1.43 69.9%
Over 2.0 1.58 63.3%
Over 2.25 1.85 54.1%
Over 2.5 2.15 46.5% 1.67 59.9%
Over 3.5 3.95 25.3%
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 1.5 2.95 33.9%
Under 2.5 1.65 60.6% 2.15 46.5%
Under 3.5 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Levski Sofia
W
14.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Levski Sofia 2:0 Sabah FASabah FA
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
AZ Alkmaar
W W
14.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 1:0 FC VaduzFC Vaduz
31.07 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AZ Alkmaar 5:0 IlvesIlves
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLevski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar

Levski Sofia
0 matches total
AZ Alkmaar
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history