Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
17.07.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Paide - Magpies

World Football
Paide
Paide
4 : 1
Finished
Magpies
Magpies

Paide take on Magpies on July 17, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Paide 1-0-0, Magpies 0-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Paide, an implied 74% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paide - Magpies July 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paide.

Line favourite Fonbet: Paide. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.28 / X 5.80 / 2 10.00
  • 1X2 market: Paide 74.2% / X 16.4% / Magpies 9.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2% 19 books · best price +4.0%
1 73.6%
X 16.3%
2 10.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 65.1%
Under 2.5 34.9%

Odds source: consensus of 19 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 17.07.2025 16:30 UTC
Market 1 74.1% @ 1.28 / X 16.4% @ 5.80 / 2 9.5% @ 10.00
Match center

Paide - Magpies

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
X 5.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 3.70 Fonbet · line only
12 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.53 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.95 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 7.15 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.30 76.9%
X 5.75 17.4%
7.00 14.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5%
X 5.75 17.4% 5.70 17.5% 5.91 16.9% 5.00 20.0% 5.75 17.4% 5.40 18.5%
9.50 10.5% 8.90 11.2% 11.30 8.9% 10.00 10.0% 7.00 14.3% 8.25 12.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.83 54.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6% 2.05 48.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 3.55 28.2% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7%
home_away 1.07 93.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 1.02 98.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Paide
W
10.07 15:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Paide 3:2 MagpiesMagpies
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Magpies
L
10.07 15:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Magpies 2:3 PaidePaide
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPaide - Magpies

Paide
1 matches total
Magpies
Paide: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Magpies: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Paide 3:2 (10.07 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 10.07 15:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

10.07 15:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Paide
3:2
Magpies