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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
23.07.2026 17:00 UTC 2 qualifying round. 1 match
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Paks - Panathinaikos

World Football
Paks
Paks
1 : 2
Finished
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2Panathinaikos57%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Panathinaikos (odds1.60) Score 1:2 confidence 57% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • liniya na pik P2 1.55→1.60 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • Model backs Panathinaikos: probability 57% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
  • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paks - Panathinaikos July 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Panathinaikos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.50 / X 8.50 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 25.2%
1 14.5%
X 9.4%
2 76.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Europa Conference League
Best price across 13 books
1 5.25 BetVictor
X 4.35 Superbet
2 1.62 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Paks
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.51 Conceded 1.22 xG 1.22 xGA 1.27 Corners 6.3
Panathinaikos
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.71 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.65 xGA 1.08 Corners 6.6

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Paks
Rating 1580
Panathinaikos
Rating 1625

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Paks 3 : 2 Panathinaikos
14.84
X4.50
21.55

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Stadium Paksh (Paksh, Hungary), vmestimost: 4950
Start 23.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Paks - Panathinaikos

Football, Paksh - Panatinaikos, 23 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Paksh - Panatinaikos, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Conference League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 1 match.

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 56.9% fact: away hit / ROI 66.0% / Brier 0.278 / LogLoss 0.563
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 56.9% fact: away hit / ROI 66.0% / Brier 0.278 / LogLoss 0.563
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
X 8.50 Fonbet · line only
1 4.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1X 7.10 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.35 74.1% 2.10 47.6%
yes 2.95 33.9% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.04 96.2%
1x 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 7.10 14.1%
x2 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.83 20.7%
X 2.49 40.2%
2.12 47.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.62 61.7%
Under 1 2.16 46.3%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 3.0 gls
2026-07-23 · Paksh 1:2 Panatinaikos
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 5.8 (Liga Stavok) · X 4.8 (Betcity) · 2 1.58 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 4.5 4.5 1.55
Winline 5.6 3.85 1.58
Fonbet 4.5 4.5 1.55
Betcity 5.2 4.8 1.47
Liga Stavok 5.8 3.95 1.55
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Paks
W L D W
14.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Paks 2:1 Polessya
07.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Paks 0:3 Polessya
31.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Paks 1:1 Maribor
24.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Paks 1:0 Maribor
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Panathinaikos
L D
24.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Panathinaikos 1:4 ChelseaChelsea
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Panathinaikos 1:1 Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPaks - Panathinaikos

Paks
0 matches total
Panathinaikos
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Paks
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Panathinaikos
Paks Team comparison Panathinaikos
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Ekspress dnya: “Panatinaikos” obygraet “Standard” ; CHAMP({
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Paksh Panatinaikos 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Derd Bognar Glavnye trenery Rafael Benites Yakob Neestrup Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 18% 32% 50% Double chance 25% 34% 41% Materialy po prognozam «Marsel» — «Panatinaikos». Obameyang ischet sebya «Panatinaikos» — «Marsel». Obameyang dobavit atake kreativa Krasnaya zvezda dlya byka. Zhdem rezultativnogo futbola v Krasnodare «Krasnodar» prikhlopnet dveryu «Lill» Ekspress dnya: “Panatinaikos” obygraet “Standard” CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1317864' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');