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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
14.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Paks - Polessya

World Football
Paks
Paks
2 : 1
Finished
Polessya
Polessya

Paks meet Polessya on August 14, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Paks 0-1-1, Polessya 2-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Paks the favourite at about 44%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paks - Polessya August 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paks.

Line favourite market consensus: Paks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.08 / X 3.41 / 2 3.19
  • 1X2 market: Paks 44.2% / X 27.0% / Polessya 28.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7% 15 books · best price +3.4%
1 44.6%
X 26.8%
2 28.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5 50.4%
Under 2.5 49.6%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Market 1 44.2% @ 2.08 / X 27.0% @ 3.41 / 2 28.8% @ 3.19
Match center

Paks - Polessya

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.19 market consensus · line only
X 3.41 market consensus · line only
1 2.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.08 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.73 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.02 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.14 46.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.25 30.8% 3.63 27.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.45 29.0%
3.10 32.3% 2.91 34.4% 3.35 29.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 1.92 52.1% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.91 52.4% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.82 55.0% 1.69 59.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.69 59.2% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.32 75.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.24 80.7%
Over 1.75 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.0 1.39 71.9%
Over 2.25 1.61 62.1%
Over 2.5 1.83 54.6% 2.02 49.5%
Over 3.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5 3.55 28.2%
Under 2.5 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6%
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Paks
L D
07.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Paks 0:3 Polessya
31.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Paks 1:1 Maribor
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Polessya
W W
07.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Polessya 3:0 PaksPaks
31.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Polessya 4:1 FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPaks - Polessya

Paks
1 matches total
Polessya
Paks: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Polessya: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Polessya 0:3 (07.08 18:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 07.08 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

07.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Paks
0:3
Polessya