Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

UEFA Europa Conference League World

2 qualifying round. 1 match 23.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

23.07.2026 17:00 UTC 2 qualifying round. 1 match

Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Panevėžys - FK Tobol Kostanay

World Football

Panevėžys

1 : 1

Finished

FK Tobol Kostanay

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2FK Tobol Kostanay (odds2.11) Score 0:1 Under 2.5 (odds1.65) ✗ Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.57) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed

• liniya na pik P2 2.25→2.12 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
• Model backs FK Tobol Kostanay: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.11)
• edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
• Expected score 0:1
• Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
• at line 2.5 (odds 1.65)
• Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.57).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Panevėžys - FK Tobol Kostanay July 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.10 / X 1.11 / 2 8.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 27.0%

1 19.2%

X 70.9%

2 9.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Europa Conference League

Best price across 13 books

1 3.40 BetVictor

X 3.35 Unibet

2 2.18 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Panevėžys

W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 0.51 Conceded 1.16 xG 1.10 xGA 1.46 Corners 4.0

FK Tobol Kostanay

W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 0.85 Conceded 1.54 xG 0.87 xGA 1.98 Corners 4.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Panevėžys 1 : 2 FK Tobol Kostanay

13.39

X3.35

22.09

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 23.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

Panevėžys - FK Tobol Kostanay

Football, Panevezhis - Tobol, 23 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Panevezhis - Tobol, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Conference League UEFA 2026/2027, 2 qualifying round. 1 match.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line away - 45.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.816 / LogLoss 1.314

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line away - 45.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.816 / LogLoss 1.314

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 8.00 Fonbet · line only

X 1.11 Fonbet · line only

1 3.51 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 5.50 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.28 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.90 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.38 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 7.90 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.35 74.1%	1.72 58.1%
yes	2.95 33.9%	2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	5.50 18.2%
1x	1.06 94.3%
x2	1.02 98.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	4.19 23.9%
X	1.99 50.3%
	2.94 34.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 0.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 1	2.17 46.1%
Under 0.5	2.49 40.2%
Under 1	1.64 61.0%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPanevėžys - FK Tobol Kostanay

Panevėžys

0 matches total

FK Tobol Kostanay

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Panevėžys

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 FK Tobol Kostanay

0 Games 0

0 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

0 Losses 0

0 Scored 0

0 Conceded 0

0 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

name: 'commentsWidget',

params: {

appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'],

xid: 'match_1317896' } }); ; ; ; ;

Panevezhis Tobol 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Toni Korkeakunnas Toni Korkeakunnas Glavnye trenery Miroslav Yurevich Romaschenko Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 41% 14% 45% Double chance 28% 42% 30% Materialy po prognozam «Bazel» — «Tobol». Sekret v rossiyskikh futbolistakh? «Khonka» — «Tobol». Eremenko and Rudakov spasut komandu «Tobol» — «Khonka». Roman Eremenko povremenit s pobedoy CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1317896' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');