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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Polessya - Fiorentina

World Football
Polessya
Polessya
0 : 3
Finished
Fiorentina
Fiorentina

Polessya face Fiorentina on August 21, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Polessya 1-0-1, Fiorentina 2-1-0. The market favourite is Fiorentina at roughly 71%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Polessya - Fiorentina August 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite Fonbet: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 9.00 / X 5.20 / 2 1.37
  • 1X2 market: Polessya 10.8% / X 18.6% / Fiorentina 70.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7% 17 books · best price +3.0%
1 11.4%
X 18.8%
2 69.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 56.2%
Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 10.8% @ 9.00 / X 18.6% @ 5.20 / 2 70.6% @ 1.37
Match center

Polessya - Fiorentina

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.37 Fonbet · line only
X 5.20 Fonbet · line only
1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
12 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1X 3.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.18 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
8.00 12.5% 7.00 14.3% 8.75 11.4% 9.00 11.1% 7.00 14.3% 8.50 11.8%
X 4.75 21.1% 4.65 21.5% 5.16 19.4% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 4.80 20.8%
1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.06 48.5% 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.06 94.3%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.75 1.22 82.0%
Over 2.0 1.28 78.1%
Over 2.25 1.47 68.0%
Over 2.5 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1%
Over 2.75 1.94 51.6%
Over 3.5 2.70 37.0%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8%
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 2.75 1.88 53.2%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Match center
Polessya
L W
14.08 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Polessya 1:2 PaksPaks
31.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Polessya 4:1 FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Fiorentina
W D W
08.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 2:1 Real BetisReal Betis
17.04 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 2:2 TseleTsele
24.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Fiorentina 4:2 FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.7 Scored
1.7 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPolessya - Fiorentina

Polessya
0 matches total
Fiorentina
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history