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Start
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
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18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano - Drita
3
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Drita December 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.
Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.17 / X 6.84 / 2 16.28
- 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 80.2% / X 13.8% / Drita 6.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 63.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.2%
1
80.5%
X
13.8%
2
5.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 7.2%
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Rayo Vallecano - Drita
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
6.84
market consensus · line only
1
1.17
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
4.92
market consensus · line only
12
1.11
market consensus · line only
1X
1.03
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
4.45
market consensus · line only
2 -1
3.86
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.18
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.22
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.47
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.55
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.65
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.16
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.18 84.8% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.22 82.0% | |
| X | 6.60 15.2% | 7.20 13.9% | 7.85 12.7% | 7.00 14.3% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.80 14.7% |
| 16.50 6.1% | 13.50 7.4% | 22.00 4.6% | 17.00 5.9% | 15.00 6.7% | 18.00 5.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.67 59.9% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.66 60.2% |
| yes | 2.10 47.6% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.24 44.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 4.50 22.2% | 5.65 17.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.95 20.2% | 5.15 19.4% |
| home_away | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.09 91.7% | — |
| home_draw | 1.03 97.1% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.15 46.5% | 2.11 47.4% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.65 27.4% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.60 38.5% | — | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.67 59.9% | 1.71 58.5% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
W
L
W
D
W
Rayo Vallecano
2:1
Jagiellonia
Rayo Vallecano
1:2
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
Rayo Vallecano
3:2
Lech Poznan
Rayo Vallecano
2:2
BK Hacken
BK Hacken
Rayo Vallecano
2:0
Shkendija
Shkendija
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
10
Points
Drita
L
W
W
D
D
Drita
0:3
AZ Alkmar
AZ Alkmar
Drita
1:0
Shkendija
Shkendija
Drita
1:0
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
Drita
1:1
Omonia Nicosia
Drita
1:1
KuPS
KuPS
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Drita
Rayo Vallecano
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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