UEFA Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznan
Rayo Vallecano take on Lech Poznan on November 6, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.
Recent form (W-D-L): Rayo Vallecano 2-1-0, Lech Poznan 1-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Rayo Vallecano, an implied 60% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznan November 6, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / X 4.05 / 2 5.58
- 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 59.8% / X 23.3% / Lech Poznan 16.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznan
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | |
| X | 4.10 24.4% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.16 24.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 4.15 24.1% |
| 5.60 17.9% | 5.90 17.0% | 5.61 17.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.90 17.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.88 53.2% | 2.05 48.8% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.38 42.0% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.31 43.3% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.12 89.3% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.13 88.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.75 26.7% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
Rayo Vallecano
BK Hacken
Shkendija
Neman
Lech Poznan
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Lech Poznan
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznan breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form