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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Rayo Vallecano - Neman

World Football
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
4 : 0
Finished
Neman
Neman

Rayo Vallecano take on Neman on August 28, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rayo Vallecano 1-0-0, Neman 1-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Rayo Vallecano at roughly 81%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Neman August 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.14 / X 6.61 / 2 17.24
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 80.5% / X 14.0% / Neman 5.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0% 10 books · best price +3.5%
1 80.1%
X 14.5%
2 5.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.3%
Over 2.5 56.5%
Under 2.5 43.5%

Odds source: consensus of 10 books (10Bet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano, Betfair, Marathonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.08.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 80.7% @ 1.14 / X 13.9% @ 6.61 / 2 5.3% @ 17.24
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Neman

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.61 market consensus · line only
1 1.14 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.97 market consensus · line only
12 1.10 market consensus · line only
1X 1.02 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.71 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.37 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.11 90.1% 1.16 86.2%
X 6.25 16.0% 6.50 15.4% 6.25 16.0% 6.20 16.1% 7.00 14.3% 6.70 14.9%
17.00 5.9% 19.00 5.3% 17.00 5.9% 15.50 6.5% 15.00 6.7% 19.25 5.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 1.38 72.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5%
yes 2.65 37.7% 2.60 38.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.72 36.8% 3.20 31.3% 2.76 36.2% 2.93 34.1% 2.75 36.4%

Double chance

Outcome 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus Unibet
draw_away 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2% 5.05 19.8% 5.66 17.7% 5.00 20.0% 3.85 26.0%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.09 91.7% 1.06 94.3% 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 1.02 98.0% 1.00 100.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0% 1.00 100.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7%
Over 3.5 2.65 37.7% 2.63 38.0%
Over 4.5 4.00 25.0% 4.60 21.7%
Over 5.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% 13.00 7.7%
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1%
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 3.5 1.44 69.4%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
W
21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 NemanNeman
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Neman
L W D
21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Neman 0:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
14.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Neman 2:0 KI KlaksvikKI Klaksvik
31.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Neman 1:1 FK Košice
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Neman

Rayo Vallecano
1 matches total
Neman
Rayo Vallecano: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Neman: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Rayo Vallecano 1:0 (21.08 18:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 21.08 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano
1:0
Neman