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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija

World Football
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 0
Finished
Shkendija
Shkendija

Rayo Vallecano face Shkendija on October 2, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Sportsbooks lean towards Rayo Vallecano, an implied 83% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija October 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.13 / X 7.74 / 2 21.69
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 83.3% / X 12.2% / Shkendija 4.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.4% 14 books · best price +2.7%
1 83.4%
X 12.1%
2 4.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 61.8%
Under 2.5 38.2%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 83.5% @ 1.13 / X 12.2% @ 7.74 / 2 4.3% @ 21.69
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.74 market consensus · line only
1 1.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 5.97 market consensus · line only
12 1.08 market consensus · line only
1X 1.02 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 5.93 market consensus · line only
2 -1 4.75 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.16 86.2%
X 7.75 12.9% 6.70 14.9% 8.05 12.4% 7.50 13.3% 8.50 11.8% 8.00 12.5%
25.00 4.0% 14.50 6.9% 20.00 5.0% 21.00 4.8% 26.00 3.9% 24.00 4.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Superbet
no 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.43 69.9%
yes 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.76 36.2% 2.45 40.8% 2.75 36.4% 2.57 38.9% 2.63 38.0% 2.69 37.2% 2.72 36.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 5.75 17.4% 5.60 17.9% 5.75 17.4% 7.00 14.3% 5.80 17.2% 5.60 17.9%
home_away 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6%
home_draw 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.00 100.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.5 1.17 85.5%
Over 2.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 2.75 1.88 53.2%
Over 3.0 2.05 48.8%
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 4.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 2.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 2.75 2.01 49.8%
Under 3.0 1.84 54.4%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
W
28.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Rayo Vallecano 4:0 NemanNeman
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Shkendija

Rayo Vallecano
0 matches total
Shkendija
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history