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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
27.08.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Riga - Sparta Praha

World Football
Riga
Riga
1 : 0
Finished
Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha

Riga take on Sparta Praha on August 27, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Riga 0-1-2, Sparta Praha 3-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Sparta Praha the favourite at about 47%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Riga - Sparta Praha August 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sparta Praha.

Line favourite market consensus: Sparta Praha. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.46 / X 3.48 / 2 1.99
  • 1X2 market: Riga 26.8% / X 26.6% / Sparta Praha 46.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8% 13 books · best price +5.0%
1 27.2%
X 27.0%
2 45.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 53.6%
Under 2.5 46.4%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.08.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 26.8% @ 3.46 / X 26.6% @ 3.48 / 2 46.6% @ 1.99
Match center

Riga - Sparta Praha

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.99 market consensus · line only
X 3.48 market consensus · line only
1 3.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.78 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.86 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.17 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.40 29.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.51 28.5% 3.90 25.6% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.58 27.9% 3.90 25.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 2.09 47.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.13 47.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 1.10 90.9%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%
Over 1.75 1.26 79.4%
Over 2.0 1.34 74.6%
Over 2.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 3.0 1.96 51.0%
Over 3.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 4.5 4.00 25.0%
Under 0.5 9.00 11.1%
Under 1.5 3.90 25.6%
Under 2.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 3.0 1.86 53.8%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Riga
L L D
21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Riga 0:2 Sparta PragaSparta Praga
14.08 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Riga 1:3 Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem
31.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Riga 3:3 DilaDila
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
2.7 Conceded
1 Points
Sparta Praha
W W W
21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Sparta Praha 2:0 RigaRiga
14.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Sparta Praha 2:1 Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia
31.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Sparta Praha 4:0 AktobeAktobe
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.7 Scored
0.3 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRiga - Sparta Praha

Riga
1 matches total
Sparta Praha
Riga: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sparta Praha: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Sparta Praga 0:2 (21.08 18:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 21.08 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Riga
0:2
Sparta Praga