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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
11.12.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Samsunspor - AEK Athens FC

World Football
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
1 : 2
Finished
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC

Samsunspor take on AEK Athens FC on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Samsunspor 3-1-0, AEK Athens FC 3-1-1. Sportsbooks lean towards AEK Athens FC, an implied 37% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Samsunspor - AEK Athens FC December 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AEK Athens FC.

Line favourite market consensus: AEK Athens FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 3.21 / 2 2.53
  • 1X2 market: Samsunspor 33.7% / X 29.2% / AEK Athens FC 37.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 33.7%
X 29.2%
2 37.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 46.6%
Under 2.5 53.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.12.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 33.7% @ 2.78 / X 29.2% @ 3.21 / 2 37.1% @ 2.53
Match center

Samsunspor - AEK Athens FC

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.53 market consensus · line only
X 3.21 market consensus · line only
1 2.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.43 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.55 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.18 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.82 35.5% 2.64 37.9% 2.86 35.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.87 34.8%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.35 29.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
2.56 39.1% 2.43 41.2% 2.61 38.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.57 38.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.41 70.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.49 67.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.25 1.85 54.1%
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3%
Over 3.5 3.55 28.2%
Over 4.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 1.5 3.20 31.3%
Under 2.25 1.97 50.8%
Under 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8%
Under 3.5 1.28 78.1%
Under 4.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Samsunspor
D W W W
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Samsunspor 2:2 BreidablikBreidablik
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Samsunspor 3:0 Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Samsunspor 3:0 Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Samsunspor 1:0 Legia Warszawa
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.5 Conceded
10 Points
AEK Athens FC
W D W L W
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 1:1 Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 6:0 AberdeenAberdeen
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 1:3 TseleTsele
28.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
AEK Athens FC 2:0 AnderlechtAnderlecht
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySamsunspor - AEK Athens FC

Samsunspor
0 matches total
AEK Athens FC
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history