Match center
Start
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Shakhtar Donetsk - HNK Rijeka
0
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Shakhtar Donetsk - HNK Rijeka December 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shakhtar Donetsk.
Line favourite market consensus: Shakhtar Donetsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.46 / 2 4.10
- 1X2 market: Shakhtar Donetsk 50.4% / X 26.9% / HNK Rijeka 22.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.3%
1
50.4%
X
26.9%
2
22.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Shakhtar Donetsk - HNK Rijeka
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.10
market consensus · line only
X
3.46
market consensus · line only
1
1.85
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.92
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.21
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.94
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.54
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.97
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.10
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.89
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.89
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.96
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.76
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| X | 3.55 28.2% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.62 27.6% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 4.20 23.8% | 3.55 28.2% | 4.36 22.9% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.40 22.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 1.97 50.8% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.73 57.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.99 50.3% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.91 52.4% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.91 52.4% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.20 83.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 2.13 47.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.00 11.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.55 28.2% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.69 59.2% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.35 74.1% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Match center
Shakhtar Donetsk
W
W
W
L
W
Shakhtar Donetsk
2:0
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans
Shakhtar Donetsk
2:1
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
Shakhtar Donetsk
2:0
Breidablik
Breidablik
Shakhtar Donetsk
1:2
Legia Warszawa
Shakhtar Donetsk
3:2
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
12
Points
HNK Rijeka
W
D
D
W
L
HNK Rijeka
3:0
Tsele
Tsele
HNK Rijeka
0:0
AEK Larnaka
AEK Larnaka
HNK Rijeka
1:1
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
HNK Rijeka
1:0
Sparta Praga
Sparta Praga
HNK Rijeka
0:1
FC Noah
FC Noah
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.4
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyShakhtar Donetsk - HNK Rijeka
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Shakhtar Donetsk - HNK Rijeka breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form