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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
23.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warszawa

World Football
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 2
Finished
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa

Shakhtar Donetsk go head-to-head with Legia Warszawa on October 23, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1-0, Legia Warszawa 1-0-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Shakhtar Donetsk, an implied 46% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warszawa October 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shakhtar Donetsk.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shakhtar Donetsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.05 / X 3.50 / 2 3.60
  • 1X2 market: Shakhtar Donetsk 46.4% / X 27.2% / Legia Warszawa 26.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 46.4%
X 27.2%
2 26.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 47.4%
Under 2.5 52.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 46.4% @ 2.05 / X 27.2% @ 3.50 / 2 26.4% @ 3.60
Match center

Shakhtar Donetsk - Legia Warszawa

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.60 Fonbet · line only
X 3.50 Fonbet · line only
1 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.77 Fonbet · line only
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.91 52.4% 1.74 57.5% 1.99 50.3% 1.83 54.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.52 28.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4%
4.10 24.4% 4.10 24.4% 3.93 25.5% 4.20 23.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin Fonbet
no 1.91 52.4% 2.14 46.7% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betway Bwin
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.27 78.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.5 1.33 75.2%
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0% 1.78 56.2%
Over 2.75 1.89 52.9%
Over 3.5 3.50 28.6%
Over 4.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 3.25 30.8%
Under 2.5 1.80 55.6% 2.04 49.0%
Under 2.75 1.93 51.8%
Under 3.5 1.28 78.1%
Under 4.5 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Shakhtar Donetsk
W D
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Shakhtar Donetsk 3:2 AberdeenAberdeen
28.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1 Servette FCServette FC
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points
Legia Warszawa
L L W
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Legia Warszawa 0:1 SamsunsporSamsunspor
28.08 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Legia Warszawa 2:3 HibernianHibernian
17.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Legia Warszawa 2:1 ChelseaChelsea
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
3 Points