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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Shamrock Rovers - Hamrun Spartans

World Football
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
Finished
Hamrun Spartans
Hamrun Spartans

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shamrock Rovers - Hamrun Spartans December 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shamrock Rovers.

Line favourite market consensus: Shamrock Rovers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / X 3.37 / 2 4.63
  • 1X2 market: Shamrock Rovers 51.7% / X 27.9% / Hamrun Spartans 20.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 51.7%
X 27.9%
2 20.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 44.1%
Under 2.5 55.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Shamrock Rovers - Hamrun Spartans

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.63 market consensus · line only
X 3.37 market consensus · line only
1 1.82 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.97 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.51 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.37 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.81 55.3% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.49 28.7% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6%
4.75 21.1% 3.80 26.3% 4.88 20.5% 4.50 22.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.07 93.5% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.38 72.5% 1.32 75.8%
Over 1.75 1.41 70.9%
Over 2.5 2.15 46.5% 2.01 49.8%
Over 3.5 3.90 25.6%
Over 4.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 0.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 1.5 2.95 33.9%
Under 2.5 1.67 59.9% 1.81 55.3%
Under 3.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 4.5 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Shamrock Rovers
L L D L L
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Shamrock Rovers 1:3 BreidablikBreidablik
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Shamrock Rovers 1:2 Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Shamrock Rovers 1:1 AEK AfinyAEK Afiny
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Shamrock Rovers 0:2 TseleTsele
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Shamrock Rovers 1:4 Sparta PragaSparta Praga
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.4 Conceded
1 Points
Hamrun Spartans
L W L L L
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Hamrun Spartans 0:2 Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Hamrun Spartans 3:1 Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Hamrun Spartans 0:3 SamsunsporSamsunspor
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Hamrun Spartans 0:1 Lausanne
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Hamrun Spartans 0:1 Jagiellonia
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points