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Start
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
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18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Sigma Olomouc - Lech Poznan
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sigma Olomouc - Lech Poznan December 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lech Poznan.
Line favourite market consensus: Lech Poznan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.06 / X 2.95 / 2 2.51
- 1X2 market: Sigma Olomouc 30.7% / X 31.9% / Lech Poznan 37.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 54.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.4%
1
30.7%
X
31.9%
2
37.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5
45.2%
Under 2.5
54.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Sigma Olomouc - Lech Poznan
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.51
market consensus · line only
X
2.95
market consensus · line only
1
3.06
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.38
market consensus · line only
12
1.36
market consensus · line only
1X
1.51
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.40
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.16
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.47
market consensus · line only
2 +1
4.10
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.10
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.73
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.95
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.80
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.06 32.7% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.05 32.8% | |
| X | 3.05 32.8% | 2.68 37.3% | 3.04 32.9% | 2.75 36.4% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.05 32.8% |
| 2.42 41.3% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.55 39.2% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.93 51.8% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.92 52.1% | 2.09 47.9% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.77 56.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.36 73.5% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_draw | 1.53 65.4% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.48 67.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.79 55.9% | — |
| Over 2.25 | — | 2.11 47.4% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.75 26.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.0 | — | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Under 2.25 | — | 1.71 58.5% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Match center
Sigma Olomouc
L
W
W
D
L
Sigma Olomouc
1:2
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Sigma Olomouc
2:1
Tsele
Tsele
Sigma Olomouc
2:1
FC Noah
FC Noah
Sigma Olomouc
1:1
Rakuv
Rakuv
Sigma Olomouc
0:2
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Lech Poznan
D
W
L
L
W
Lech Poznan
1:1
Maynts
Maynts
Lech Poznan
2:0
Lausanne
Lech Poznan
2:3
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Lech Poznan
1:2
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Lech Poznan
4:1
Rapid Vienna
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySigma Olomouc - Lech Poznan
Sigma Olomouc
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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