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Start
18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
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18.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Sparta Praha - Aberdeen
3
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sparta Praha - Aberdeen December 18, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sparta Praha.
Line favourite market consensus: Sparta Praha. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.17 / X 7.32 / 2 14.68
- 1X2 market: Sparta Praha 80.6% / X 12.9% / Aberdeen 6.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 66.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.9%
1
80.7%
X
12.9%
2
6.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5
66.7%
Under 2.5
33.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Sparta Praha - Aberdeen
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
7.32
market consensus · line only
1
1.17
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
4.86
market consensus · line only
12
1.09
market consensus · line only
1X
1.03
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
4.34
market consensus · line only
2 -1
3.56
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
8.83
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.20
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.40
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.81
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.72
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.03
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.20 83.3% | |
| X | 7.30 13.7% | 6.80 14.7% | 8.20 12.2% | 7.00 14.3% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.40 13.5% |
| 14.50 6.9% | 12.50 8.0% | 19.00 5.3% | 15.00 6.7% | 13.00 7.7% | 17.00 5.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.77 56.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 4.75 21.1% | 5.55 18.0% | 4.80 20.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.90 20.4% | 4.95 20.2% |
| home_away | 1.08 92.6% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.08 92.6% |
| home_draw | 1.03 97.1% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.00 100.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.40 71.4% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.00 50.0% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.20 31.3% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.00 16.7% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.90 34.5% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.02 49.5% | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.13 88.5% | — | — |
Match center
Sparta Praha
W
W
D
L
W
Sparta Praha
2:1
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova
Sparta Praha
1:0
Legia Warszawa
Sparta Praha
0:0
Rakuv
Rakuv
Sparta Praha
0:1
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
Sparta Praha
4:1
Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.6
Conceded
10
Points
Aberdeen
L
D
D
L
L
Aberdeen
0:1
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Aberdeen
1:1
FC Noah
FC Noah
Aberdeen
0:0
AEK Larnaka
AEK Larnaka
Aberdeen
0:6
AEK Afiny
AEK Afiny
Aberdeen
2:3
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0.6
Scored
2.2
Conceded
2
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySparta Praha - Aberdeen
Sparta Praha
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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