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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
23.07.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

The New Saints - FC Differdange 03

World Football
The New Saints
The New Saints
0 : 1
Finished
FC Differdange 03
FC Differdange 03

The New Saints take on FC Differdange 03 on July 23, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

The market favourite is The New Saints at roughly 53%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction The New Saints - FC Differdange 03 July 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like The New Saints.

Line favourite Fonbet: The New Saints. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.80 / X 3.60 / 2 4.60
  • 1X2 market: The New Saints 52.9% / X 26.4% / FC Differdange 03 20.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3% 17 books · best price +7.9%
1 52.2%
X 26.9%
2 20.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 44.2%
Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.07.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 52.9% @ 1.80 / X 26.4% @ 3.60 / 2 20.7% @ 4.60
Match center

The New Saints - FC Differdange 03

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.60 Fonbet · line only
X 3.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.00 Fonbet · line only
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.91 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.73 57.8%
X 3.30 30.3%
4.33 23.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.91 52.4% 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.62 27.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0%
3.75 26.7% 3.95 25.3% 4.70 21.3% 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.35 23.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1%
yes 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
The New Saints
W L
24.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
The New Saints 2:0 FC AstanaFC Astana
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
The New Saints 0:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points