Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Universitatea Craiova - Başakşehir

World Football
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova
3 : 1
Finished
Başakşehir
Başakşehir

Universitatea Craiova face Başakşehir on August 28, 2025 in the UEFA Europa Conference League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Universitatea Craiova 2-0-1, Başakşehir 1-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Başakşehir, an implied 38% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Universitatea Craiova - Başakşehir August 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Başakşehir.

Line favourite market consensus: Başakşehir. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.68 / X 3.36 / 2 2.44
  • 1X2 market: Universitatea Craiova 34.6% / X 27.5% / Başakşehir 37.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2% 10 books · best price +5.4%
1 34.5%
X 27.4%
2 38.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 51.7%
Under 2.5 48.3%

Odds source: consensus of 10 books (10Bet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano, Betfair, Marathonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 28.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Market 1 34.5% @ 2.68 / X 27.5% @ 3.36 / 2 37.9% @ 2.44
Match center

Universitatea Craiova - Başakşehir

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.44 market consensus · line only
X 3.36 market consensus · line only
1 2.68 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.43 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.51 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.11 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
2.65 37.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8% 2.60 38.5% 2.73 36.6%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.30 30.3% 3.42 29.2%
2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2% 2.42 41.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.46 40.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Unibet
no 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.21 45.3% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 888Sport
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Over 3.5 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4%
Over 5.5 12.00 8.3%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8% 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%
Under 3.5 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Universitatea Craiova
W L W
21.08 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Universitatea Craiova 2:1 BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
14.08 18:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Universitatea Craiova 1:4 Spartak TrnavaSpartak Trnava
31.07 17:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Universitatea Craiova 4:0 FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
6 Points
Başakşehir
L D W
21.08 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Başakşehir 1:2 Universitatea CraiovaUniversitatea Craiova
13.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Başakşehir 1:1 Viking
31.07 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Başakşehir 4:0 Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUniversitatea Craiova - Başakşehir

Universitatea Craiova
1 matches total
Başakşehir
Universitatea Craiova: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Başakşehir: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Universitatea Craiova 2:1 (21.08 17:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 21.08 17:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

21.08 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Universitatea Craiova
2:1
Başakşehir