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UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
23.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
23.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Valur Reykjavik - Zrinjski

World Football
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
1 : 0
Finished
Zrinjski
Zrinjski
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Zrinjski (odds2.48) Score 0:1 Under 2.5 (odds1.95) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.83) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • liniya na pik P2 4.15→2.50 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Zrinjski: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.48)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2.5 (odds 1.95)
  • • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.83).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valur Reykjavik - Zrinjski July 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Valur Reykjavik. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / X 7.80 / 2 2.42

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 48.5%
1 63.5%
X 8.6%
2 27.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Europa Conference League
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Valur Reykjavik
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.79 Conceded 1.22 xG 1.56 xGA 1.15
Zrinjski
W-D-L 2-2-6 Scored 0.95 Conceded 1.89 xG 0.98 xGA 1.81 Corners 3.4

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Valur Reykjavik
Rating 1570
Zrinjski
Rating 1547

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Valur Reykjavik 1 : 3 Zrinjski
12.88
X3.45
22.29

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 23.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Valur Reykjavik - Zrinjski

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 38.9% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.652 / LogLoss 1.066
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 38.9% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.652 / LogLoss 1.066
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.34 market consensus · line only
X 7.80 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.14 87.7% 2.13 47.0%
yes 5.00 20.0% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.28 78.1% 1.26 79.4% 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.56 64.1% 1.54 64.9% 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9% 6.70 14.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.37 29.7%
X 2.28 43.9%
2.90 34.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.73 57.8%
Over 1.5 2.66 37.6%
Under 1 2.03 49.3%
Under 1.5 1.44 69.4%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0, avg 1.0 gls
2026-07-23 · Valyur Reykyavik 1:0 Zrinski Mostar
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.22 (Betcity) · X 3.6 (Betcity) · 2 3.47 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.18 3.5 2.85
Winline 2.08 3.42 3.47
Fonbet 2.18 3.5 2.85
Betcity 2.22 3.6 2.85
Liga Stavok 2.05 3.45 3.45
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Valur Reykjavik
L D W W
31.07 18:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Valur Reykjavik 1:2 Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
24.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Valur Reykjavik 1:1 Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris
17.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Valur Reykjavik 2:1 Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn
10.07 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Valur Reykjavik 3:0 Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Zrinjski
L D D L W
26.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Zrinjski 0:2 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
19.02 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Zrinjski 1:1 Kristal PelasKristal Pelas
18.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Zrinjski 1:1 Rapid Vienna
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Zrinjski 0:1 RakuvRakuv
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Zrinjski 2:1 BK HackenBK Hacken
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValur Reykjavik - Zrinjski

Valur Reykjavik
0 matches total
Zrinjski
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history