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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

AS Roma - Lille

World Football
AS Roma
AS Roma
0 : 1
Finished
Lille
Lille

AS Roma face Lille on October 2, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): AS Roma 2-1-1, Lille 1-0-0. The bookmaker line makes AS Roma the favourite at about 55%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Lille October 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / X 3.79 / 2 4.73
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 54.8% / X 25.1% / Lille 20.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2% 14 books · best price +7.6%
1 55.5%
X 25.0%
2 19.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 50.0%
Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 54.9% @ 1.73 / X 25.0% @ 3.79 / 2 20.1% @ 4.73
Match center

AS Roma - Lille

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.74 market consensus · line only
X 3.79 market consensus · line only
1 1.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.38 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.30 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.74 57.5%
X 3.88 25.8%
4.95 20.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.68 59.5% 1.71 58.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.85 54.1%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.96 25.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3%
5.00 20.0% 4.35 23.0% 5.02 19.9% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.55 22.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.96 51.0%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.15 46.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5% 2.19 45.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.19 84.0%
Match center
AS Roma
W W L D
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
AS Roma 2:1 NiceNice
24.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
AS Roma 1:0 Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
AS Roma 0:1 IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
AS Roma 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Lille
W
25.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lille 2:1 BrannBrann
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Lille

AS Roma
0 matches total
Lille
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history