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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

AS Roma - Plzen

World Football
AS Roma
AS Roma
1 : 2
Finished
Plzen
Plzen

AS Roma meet Plzen on October 23, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): AS Roma 2-1-2, Plzen 1-4-0. Sportsbooks lean towards AS Roma, an implied 73% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction AS Roma - Plzen October 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite Fonbet: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / X 5.50 / 2 9.50
  • 1X2 market: AS Roma 72.8% / X 17.2% / Plzen 10.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 72.8%
X 17.2%
2 10.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 60.3%
Under 2.5 39.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 72.8% @ 1.30 / X 17.2% @ 5.50 / 2 10.0% @ 9.50
Match center

AS Roma - Plzen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 3.55 Fonbet · line only
12 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.36 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 7.05 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.92 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.32 75.8% 1.34 74.6% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6%
X 5.30 18.9% 5.10 19.6% 5.63 17.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.50 18.2%
8.80 11.4% 7.20 13.9% 10.20 9.8% 8.50 11.8% 8.00 12.5% 10.00 10.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8%
Over 2.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 2.75 1.76 56.8%
Over 3.0 1.92 52.1%
Over 3.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 4.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 2.5 2.38 42.0%
Under 2.75 2.06 48.5%
Under 3.0 1.97 50.8%
Under 3.5 1.55 64.5%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
AS Roma
L W W L D
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
AS Roma 0:1 LilleLille
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
AS Roma 2:1 NiceNice
24.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
AS Roma 1:0 Dynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
AS Roma 0:1 IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
AS Roma 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Plzen
W D D D D
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Plzen 3:0 Malmo FF
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Plzen 1:1 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
24.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Plzen 2:2 PAOKPAOK
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Plzen 0:0 LudogoretsLudogorets
26.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Plzen 3:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAS Roma - Plzen

AS Roma
0 matches total
Plzen
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history