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Start
29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Aston Villa - Red Bull Salzburg
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Aston Villa - Red Bull Salzburg January 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.
Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 5.30 / 2 7.46
- 1X2 market: Aston Villa 69.2% / X 18.0% / Red Bull Salzburg 12.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 65.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
69.3%
X
17.9%
2
12.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5
65.5%
Under 2.5
34.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Aston Villa - Red Bull Salzburg
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.46
market consensus · line only
X
5.30
market consensus · line only
1
1.37
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.12
market consensus · line only
12
1.15
market consensus · line only
1X
1.09
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.10
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.45
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.25
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.38
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.43
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.72
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.13
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.66
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.36 73.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.36 73.5% | |
| X | 5.10 19.6% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.74 17.4% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.00 20.0% |
| 7.25 13.8% | 5.70 17.5% | 8.40 11.9% | 7.00 14.3% | 8.50 11.8% | 7.50 13.3% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.12 47.2% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.62 61.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.00 33.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 2.75 36.4% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.32 30.1% | 3.37 29.7% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.09 91.7% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.44 69.4% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 2.07 48.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.45 29.0% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.25 16.0% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.75 36.4% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.11 90.1% | — | — |
Match center
Aston Villa
W
W
W
W
L
Aston Villa
1:0
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
Aston Villa
2:1
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Aston Villa
2:1
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
Aston Villa
2:0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Aston Villa
1:2
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.8
Conceded
12
Points
Red Bull Salzburg
W
L
L
W
L
Red Bull Salzburg
3:1
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
Red Bull Salzburg
0:1
Frayburg
Frayburg
Red Bull Salzburg
1:4
Bologna
Bologna
Red Bull Salzburg
2:0
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
Red Bull Salzburg
2:3
Ferentsvarosh
Ferentsvarosh
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.8
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAston Villa - Red Bull Salzburg
Aston Villa
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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