Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
22.01.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Bologna - Celtic

World Football
Bologna
Bologna
2 : 2
Finished
Celtic
Celtic

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Celtic January 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.93 / 2 4.79
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 55.8% / X 24.2% / Celtic 20.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 55.9%
X 24.2%
2 19.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 52.5%
Under 2.5 47.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 22.01.2026 17:45 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Celtic

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.79 market consensus · line only
X 3.93 market consensus · line only
1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.43 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.76 56.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3% 4.04 24.8% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3%
4.80 20.8% 4.40 22.7% 5.03 19.9% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1% 4.85 20.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.96 51.0% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.19 45.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5 1.28 78.1% 1.24 80.7%
Over 1.75 1.29 77.5%
Over 2.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 2.75 1.96 51.0%
Over 3.5 3.10 32.3%
Over 4.5 5.75 17.4%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.65 27.4%
Under 2.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 2.75 1.93 51.8%
Under 3.5 1.36 73.5%
Under 4.5 1.12 89.3%
Match center
Bologna
W W D W D
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 2:1 SeltaSelta
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 4:1 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 0:0 BrannBrann
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 2:1 FCSBFCSB
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 1:1 FrayburgFrayburg
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Celtic
L W L W L
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 0:3 AS RomaAS Roma
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 3:1 FeyenoordFeyenoord
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 1:3 MidtyullannMidtyullann
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 2:1 Sturm GrazSturm Graz
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 0:2 BragaBraga
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Celtic

Bologna
0 matches total
Celtic
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history