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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
27.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg

World Football
Bologna
Bologna
4 : 1
Finished
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg

Bologna take on Red Bull Salzburg on November 27, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bologna 1-2-1, Red Bull Salzburg 1-0-3. Sportsbooks lean towards Bologna, an implied 70% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg November 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 5.06 / 2 8.67
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 70.1% / X 18.8% / Red Bull Salzburg 11.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 70.3%
X 18.8%
2 10.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 57.9%
Under 2.5 42.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 70.3% @ 1.35 / X 18.8% @ 5.06 / 2 10.9% @ 8.67
Match center

Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.67 market consensus · line only
X 5.06 market consensus · line only
1 1.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.22 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.31 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.55 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.65 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.34 74.6% 1.37 73.0% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5%
X 4.80 20.8% 4.80 20.8% 5.42 18.5% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2%
9.60 10.4% 7.10 14.1% 9.50 10.5% 8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1% 9.25 10.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.10 32.3% 3.32 30.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.32 30.1%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.25 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3%
Over 2.5 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8%
Over 2.75 1.89 52.9%
Over 3.5 2.55 39.2%
Over 4.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.33 23.1%
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4% 2.12 47.2%
Under 2.75 2.00 50.0%
Under 3.5 1.50 66.7%
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Bologna
D W D L
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 0:0 BrannBrann
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 2:1 FCSBFCSB
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 1:1 FrayburgFrayburg
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Red Bull Salzburg
W L L L
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg 2:0 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg 2:3 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg 0:2 LionLion
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Red Bull Salzburg 0:1 FC PortoFC Porto
1 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points