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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Bologna - SC Freiburg

World Football
Bologna
Bologna
1 : 1
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Bologna go head-to-head with SC Freiburg on October 2, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Bologna 0-0-1, SC Freiburg 1-0-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Bologna, an implied 50% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - SC Freiburg October 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 3.47 / 2 4.12
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 49.8% / X 27.3% / SC Freiburg 23.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5% 14 books · best price +3.4%
1 49.8%
X 27.4%
2 22.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 45.6%
Under 2.5 54.4%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2025 16:45 UTC
Market 1 49.8% @ 1.90 / X 27.3% @ 3.47 / 2 23.0% @ 4.12
Match center

Bologna - SC Freiburg

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.14 market consensus · line only
X 3.47 market consensus · line only
1 1.90 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.90 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.96 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.92 52.1%
X 3.52 28.4%
4.30 23.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.95 51.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.65 27.4% 3.59 27.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
4.00 25.0% 3.85 26.0% 4.04 24.8% 3.90 25.6% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.88 53.2%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4%
Match center
Bologna
L
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
SC Freiburg
W
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
SC Freiburg 2:1 FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - SC Freiburg

Bologna
0 matches total
SC Freiburg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history