Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
22.01.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

BSC Young Boys - Lyon

World Football
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
0 : 1
Finished
Lyon
Lyon

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction BSC Young Boys - Lyon January 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyon.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyon. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.73 / X 3.95 / 2 1.70
  • 1X2 market: BSC Young Boys 20.1% / X 24.1% / Lyon 55.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 20.1%
X 24.0%
2 55.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 55.2%
Under 2.5 44.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 22.01.2026 17:45 UTC
Match center

BSC Young Boys - Lyon

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.70 market consensus · line only
X 3.95 market consensus · line only
1 4.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.09 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.60 21.7% 4.05 24.7% 5.11 19.6% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 4.90 20.4%
X 3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.09 24.5% 3.75 26.7% 4.10 24.4% 4.00 25.0%
1.71 58.5% 1.71 58.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.23 44.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.13 47.0%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.19 84.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.23 44.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 2.75 1.88 53.2%
Over 3.0 2.06 48.5%
Over 3.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 4.5 5.25 19.1%
Over 5.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.00 25.0%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 2.75 2.01 49.8%
Under 3.0 1.83 54.6%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 4.5 1.15 87.0%
Under 5.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
BSC Young Boys
W L L W W
11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
BSC Young Boys 1:0 LilleLille
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
BSC Young Boys 1:2 Aston VillaAston Villa
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
BSC Young Boys 0:4 PAOKPAOK
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
BSC Young Boys 3:2 LudogoretsLudogorets
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
BSC Young Boys 2:0 FCSBFCSB
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Lyon
W W L W W
11.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 2:1 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 6:0 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 0:2 Real BetisReal Betis
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 2:0 FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Lyon 2:0 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBSC Young Boys - Lyon

BSC Young Boys
0 matches total
Lyon
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history