AI verdict

AI pick Celje win probability ~53% best odds 1.80

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Celje. Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
17.07.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Celje - Sabah FA

World Football
Celje
Celje
2 : 3
Finished
Sabah FA
Sabah FA

Celje take on Sabah FA on July 17, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Celje 1-0-0, Sabah FA 0-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Celje, an implied 53% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celje - Sabah FA July 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celje.

Line favourite Fonbet: Celje. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.80 / X 3.85 / 2 4.20
  • 1X2 market: Celje 52.7% / X 24.7% / Sabah FA 22.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.9% 19 books · best price +7.4%
1 52.3%
X 24.7%
2 22.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 55.8%
Under 2.5 44.2%

Odds source: consensus of 19 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 17.07.2025 18:00 UTC
Market 1 52.7% @ 1.80 / X 24.7% @ 3.85 / 2 22.6% @ 4.20
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

Celje - Sabah FA

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.20 Fonbet · line only
X 3.85 Fonbet · line only
1 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.00 Fonbet · line only
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.18 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.89 52.9%
X 3.65 27.4%
3.63 27.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.82 55.0%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.65 27.4% 3.92 25.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7%
3.90 25.6% 3.70 27.0% 4.14 24.2% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.24 44.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.59 62.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Celje
W
10.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celje 3:2 Sabah FASabah FA
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Sabah FA
L
10.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sabah FA 2:3 TseleTsele
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Celje - Sabah FA

Celje
1 matches total
Sabah FA
Celje: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sabah FA: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Tsele 3:2 (10.07 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 10.07 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

10.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Tsele
3:2
Sabah FA

Frequently asked questions

When does Celje vs Sabah FA start?

July 17, 2025.