Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
11.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Celta Vigo - Bologna

World Football
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Celta Vigo go head-to-head with Bologna on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Celta Vigo 3-0-2, Bologna 2-2-1. The bookmaker line makes Celta Vigo the favourite at about 40%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Bologna December 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / X 3.31 / 2 3.04
  • 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 40.3% / X 28.6% / Bologna 31.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 40.3%
X 28.6%
2 31.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 49.1%
Under 2.5 50.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 11.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 40.3% @ 2.35 / X 28.6% @ 3.31 / 2 31.1% @ 3.04
Match center

Celta Vigo - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.04 market consensus · line only
X 3.31 market consensus · line only
1 2.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.96 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.32 43.1% 2.21 45.3% 2.44 41.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.48 28.7% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.35 29.9%
3.10 32.3% 2.85 35.1% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 1.97 50.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.22 45.1%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.81 55.3% 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.25 1.15 87.0%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 2.25 1.83 54.6%
Over 2.5 1.90 52.6% 2.10 47.6%
Over 3.5 3.25 30.8%
Over 4.5 6.25 16.0%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 3.45 29.0%
Under 2.25 1.99 50.3%
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.79 55.9%
Under 3.5 1.33 75.2%
Under 4.5 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Celta Vigo
L W W W L
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo 2:3 LudogoretsLudogorets
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo 3:0 Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo 2:1 NiceNice
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo 3:1 PAOKPAOK
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo 1:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Bologna
W D W D L
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 4:1 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 0:0 BrannBrann
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 2:1 FCSBFCSB
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 1:1 FrayburgFrayburg
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Bologna 0:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Bologna

Celta Vigo
0 matches total
Bologna
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history