Match center
Start
22.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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22.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo - Lille
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Lille January 22, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.
Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.29 / 2 3.04
- 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 40.1% / X 28.8% / Lille 31.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.7%
1
40.1%
X
28.8%
2
31.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Celta Vigo - Lille
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.04
market consensus · line only
X
3.29
market consensus · line only
1
2.36
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.59
market consensus · line only
12
1.32
market consensus · line only
1X
1.38
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.61
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.26
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.03
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.26
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.00
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.84
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.02
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.74
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.35 42.6% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.35 42.6% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.41 29.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 3.05 32.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.95 33.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.78 56.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.36 73.5% |
| home_draw | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.06 94.3% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — | 1.29 77.5% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.37 73.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.50 28.6% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.00 14.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.50 11.8% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.25 30.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — | — |
Match center
Celta Vigo
L
L
W
W
W
Celta Vigo
1:2
Bologna
Bologna
Celta Vigo
2:3
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
Celta Vigo
3:0
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
Celta Vigo
2:1
Nice
Nice
Celta Vigo
3:1
PAOK
PAOK
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.4
Conceded
9
Points
Lille
L
W
L
L
W
Lille
0:1
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
Lille
4:0
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
Lille
0:1
FK Crvena Zvezda
Lille
3:4
PAOK
PAOK
Lille
1:0
AS Roma
AS Roma
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Lille
Celta Vigo
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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