Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Celta Vigo - Nice

World Football
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
2 : 1
Finished
Nice
Nice

Celta Vigo face Nice on October 23, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Celta Vigo 1-0-1, Nice 0-1-4. The market favourite is Celta Vigo at roughly 56%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celta Vigo - Nice October 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite Fonbet: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.73 / X 3.90 / 2 5.10
  • 1X2 market: Celta Vigo 56.1% / X 24.9% / Nice 19.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 56.1%
X 24.9%
2 19.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 53.9%
Under 2.5 46.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 56.1% @ 1.73 / X 24.9% @ 3.90 / 2 19.0% @ 5.10
Match center

Celta Vigo - Nice

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.10 Fonbet · line only
X 3.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.10 Fonbet · line only
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.68 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 4.44 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.07 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.69 59.2% 1.82 55.0% 1.76 56.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%
X 3.85 26.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.97 25.2% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%
4.85 20.6% 3.80 26.3% 5.11 19.6% 4.60 21.7% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.10 47.6% 2.09 47.9% 2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 1.00 100.0%
Over 1.0 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.25 1.11 90.1%
Over 1.5 1.25 80.0%
Over 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.81 55.3%
Over 2.75 2.00 50.0%
Over 3.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 4.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 0.5 9.50 10.5%
Under 1.5 3.95 25.3%
Under 2.5 2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1%
Under 2.75 1.89 52.9%
Under 3.5 1.42 70.4%
Under 4.5 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Celta Vigo
W L
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo 3:1 PAOKPAOK
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celta Vigo 1:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Nice
L L L L D
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nice 1:2 FenerbahçeFenerbahçe
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nice 1:2 AS RomaAS Roma
24.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nice 0:1 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
03.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nice 1:4 LazioLazio
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Nice 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelta Vigo - Nice

Celta Vigo
0 matches total
Nice
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history