Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

Celtic - Sturm Graz

World Football
Celtic
Celtic
2 : 1
Finished
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz

Celtic go head-to-head with Sturm Graz on October 23, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): Celtic 0-1-1, Sturm Graz 1-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Celtic, an implied 67% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celtic - Sturm Graz October 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celtic.

Line favourite Fonbet: Celtic. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / X 4.90 / 2 7.00
  • 1X2 market: Celtic 67.3% / X 19.2% / Sturm Graz 13.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1%
1 67.3%
X 19.2%
2 13.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5 61.1%
Under 2.5 38.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 67.3% @ 1.40 / X 19.2% @ 4.90 / 2 13.5% @ 7.00
Match center

Celtic - Sturm Graz

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.00 Fonbet · line only
X 4.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.95 Fonbet · line only
12 1.18 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 5.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.47 68.0%
X 4.80 20.8% 4.45 22.5% 5.11 19.6% 4.60 21.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.90 20.4%
6.40 15.6% 5.60 17.9% 7.00 14.3% 6.00 16.7% 5.50 18.2% 7.10 14.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.10 47.6% 2.04 49.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.76 56.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 2.65 37.7% 2.87 34.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.82 35.5% 2.90 34.5%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.5 1.17 85.5% 1.11 90.1%
Over 2.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 2.75 1.82 55.0%
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 4.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 5.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 0.5 11.00 9.1%
Under 1.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 2.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 2.75 2.07 48.3%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Celtic
L D
02.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 0:2 BragaBraga
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Celtic 1:1 FK Crvena Zvezda
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Sturm Graz
W L
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 2:1 RangersRangers
24.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Sturm Graz 0:2 MidtyullannMidtyullann
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCeltic - Sturm Graz

Celtic
0 matches total
Sturm Graz
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history