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Start
29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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29.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa League
Celtic - Utrecht
4
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Celtic - Utrecht January 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celtic.
Line favourite market consensus: Celtic. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.36 / X 4.97 / 2 8.61
- 1X2 market: Celtic 69.9% / X 19.1% / Utrecht 11.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
69.9%
X
19.1%
2
11.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5
55.8%
Under 2.5
44.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Celtic - Utrecht
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.61
market consensus · line only
X
4.97
market consensus · line only
1
1.36
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.08
market consensus · line only
12
1.18
market consensus · line only
1X
1.08
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.94
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.42
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.00
market consensus · line only
2 +1
9.80
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.70
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.80
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.94
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.30 76.9% | |
| X | 4.70 21.3% | 5.30 18.9% | 5.21 19.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.85 20.6% | 4.75 21.1% |
| 9.60 10.4% | 8.00 12.5% | 8.65 11.6% | 9.00 11.1% | 9.00 11.1% | 9.00 11.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.82 55.0% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.86 53.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.20 31.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 2.75 36.4% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.33 30.0% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.09 91.7% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.80 35.7% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.00 20.0% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.00 25.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.99 50.3% | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.17 85.5% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — | — |
Match center
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W
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W
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Draws
2
Losses
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Scored
2.0
Conceded
7
Points
Utrecht
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0:2
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Wins
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Draws
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Losses
0.6
Scored
1.8
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCeltic - Utrecht
Celtic
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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