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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
11.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

FC Basel 1893 - Aston Villa

World Football
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
1 : 2
Finished
Aston Villa
Aston Villa

FC Basel 1893 go head-to-head with Aston Villa on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC Basel 1893 2-0-3, Aston Villa 4-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Aston Villa, an implied 56% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Basel 1893 - Aston Villa December 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Aston Villa.

Line favourite market consensus: Aston Villa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.64 / X 4.10 / 2 1.68
  • 1X2 market: FC Basel 1893 20.5% / X 23.2% / Aston Villa 56.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 20.4%
X 23.1%
2 56.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 59.7%
Under 2.5 40.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Market 1 20.4% @ 4.64 / X 23.1% @ 4.10 / 2 56.4% @ 1.68
Match center

FC Basel 1893 - Aston Villa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.68 market consensus · line only
X 4.10 market consensus · line only
1 4.64 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 2.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.27 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.59 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.85 20.6% 3.70 27.0% 4.97 20.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.90 20.4%
X 4.00 25.0% 3.75 26.7% 4.32 23.2% 3.90 25.6% 4.33 23.1% 4.25 23.5%
1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.28 43.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.33 42.9%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.15 46.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 3.0 2.00 50.0%
Over 3.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 4.5 4.33 23.1%
Over 5.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 2.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 3.0 1.89 52.9%
Under 3.5 1.53 65.4%
Under 4.5 1.20 83.3%
Under 5.5 1.07 93.5%
Match center
FC Basel 1893
L W L W L
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Basel 1893 1:2 GenkGenk
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Basel 1893 3:1 FCSBFCSB
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Basel 1893 0:2 LionLion
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Basel 1893 2:0 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Basel 1893 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Aston Villa
W W L W W
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Aston Villa 2:1 BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Aston Villa 2:0 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Aston Villa 1:2 GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Aston Villa 2:0 FeyenoordFeyenoord
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Aston Villa 1:0 BolognaBologna
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
12 Points