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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
11.12.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

FC Midtjylland - Genk

World Football
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
1 : 0
Finished
Genk
Genk

FC Midtjylland meet Genk on December 11, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC Midtjylland 4-0-1, Genk 3-1-1. Sportsbooks lean towards FC Midtjylland, an implied 55% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Midtjylland - Genk December 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Midtjylland.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Midtjylland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / X 4.06 / 2 4.29
  • 1X2 market: FC Midtjylland 54.5% / X 23.3% / Genk 22.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 54.7%
X 23.3%
2 22.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 60.7%
Under 2.5 39.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.12.2025 17:45 UTC
Market 1 54.7% @ 1.73 / X 23.3% @ 4.06 / 2 22.0% @ 4.29
Match center

FC Midtjylland - Genk

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.29 market consensus · line only
X 4.06 market consensus · line only
1 1.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.15 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.69 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.97 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.41 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.32 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.56 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.70 58.8% 1.81 55.3% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%
X 4.00 25.0% 3.65 27.4% 4.24 23.6% 3.80 26.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.30 23.3%
4.50 22.2% 3.35 29.9% 4.60 21.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.65 21.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.34 42.7% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.29 43.7% 2.42 41.3%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.16 46.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.16 46.3%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.23 81.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 1.07 93.5%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8% 1.15 87.0%
Over 2.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 3.0 2.05 48.8%
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 4.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0%
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 2.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 3.0 1.84 54.4%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
FC Midtjylland
L W W W W
27.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 1:2 AS RomaAS Roma
06.11 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 3:1 CelticCeltic
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 3:0 Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 3:2 Nottingem ForestNottingem Forest
24.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 2:0 Sturm GrazSturm Graz
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Genk
W W D L W
27.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Genk 2:1 FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
06.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Genk 4:3 BragaBraga
23.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
Genk 0:0 Real BetisReal Betis
02.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Genk 0:1 FerentsvaroshFerentsvarosh
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
Genk 1:0 RangersRangers
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Midtjylland - Genk

FC Midtjylland
0 matches total
Genk
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history