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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
21.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

FC Midtjylland - KuPS

World Football
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
4 : 0
Finished
KuPS
KuPS

FC Midtjylland face KuPS on August 21, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC Midtjylland 2-1-0, KuPS 1-0-0. Sportsbooks lean towards FC Midtjylland, an implied 82% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Midtjylland - KuPS August 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Midtjylland.

Line favourite Fonbet: FC Midtjylland. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.18 / X 7.90 / 2 16.00
  • 1X2 market: FC Midtjylland 81.8% / X 12.2% / KuPS 6.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5% 17 books · best price +6.0%
1 80.5%
X 13.0%
2 6.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 67.8%
Under 2.5 32.2%

Odds source: consensus of 17 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Market 1 81.8% @ 1.18 / X 12.2% @ 7.90 / 2 6.0% @ 16.00
Match center

FC Midtjylland - KuPS

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.18 Fonbet · line only
2 9.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.90 Fonbet · line only
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.98 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.95 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 8.20 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.15 87.0%
X 8.16 12.3%
14.94 6.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.17 85.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8%
X 7.00 14.3% 6.20 16.1% 7.55 13.3% 5.50 18.2% 7.50 13.3% 7.20 13.9%
15.00 6.7% 10.50 9.5% 15.00 6.7% 12.00 8.3% 13.00 7.7% 16.50 6.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.65 60.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 2.07 48.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.02 49.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 4.75 21.1% 4.92 20.3% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2% 5.30 18.9% 4.00 25.0%
home_away 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
FC Midtjylland
W D W
14.08 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 2:0 FredrikstadFredrikstad
31.07 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 0:0 HibernianHibernian
24.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Midtjylland 1:0 Union St. Gilloise
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
7 Points
KuPS
W
14.08 15:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
KuPS 1:0 Rīgas FSRīgas FS
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Midtjylland - KuPS

FC Midtjylland
0 matches total
KuPS
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history