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UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa League World
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa League

FC Porto - FK Crvena Zvezda

World Football
FC Porto
FC Porto
2 : 1
Finished
FK Crvena Zvezda
FK Crvena Zvezda

FC Porto face FK Crvena Zvezda on October 2, 2025 in the UEFA Europa League, World.

Recent form (W-D-L): FC Porto 2-1-1, FK Crvena Zvezda 0-1-0. The market favourite is FC Porto at roughly 63%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Porto - FK Crvena Zvezda October 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Porto.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Porto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.48 / 2 6.05
  • 1X2 market: FC Porto 63.1% / X 21.2% / FK Crvena Zvezda 15.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8% 14 books · best price +3.3%
1 63.2%
X 21.1%
2 15.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 58.3%
Under 2.5 41.7%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Market 1 63.2% @ 1.50 / X 21.2% @ 4.48 / 2 15.7% @ 6.05
Match center

FC Porto - FK Crvena Zvezda

Form 4/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.06 market consensus · line only
X 4.49 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.59 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.45 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.52 65.8%
X 4.64 21.6%
6.13 16.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5%
X 4.55 22.0% 4.45 22.5% 4.57 21.9% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.65 21.5%
5.80 17.2% 5.30 18.9% 6.44 15.5% 6.00 16.7% 5.75 17.4% 6.20 16.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 1.99 50.3% 2.08 48.1%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.55 39.2% 2.64 37.9% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.64 37.9%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
FC Porto
W W D L
25.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 1:0 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
24.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 2:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
03.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 3:3 Manchester UnitedManchester United
25.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa League
FC Porto 2:3 Bodo/Glimt
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
7 Points
FK Crvena Zvezda
D
24.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa League
FK Crvena Zvezda 1:1 CelticCeltic
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points